Gold prices are on the rise in 2024, especially since the beginning of March, buoyed by market expectations of potential rate cuts from major central banks, including the US Federal Reserve. With investors anticipating three cuts from the Fed in the coming months, the yellow metal is seen as a safe haven asset. But the story doesn’t end there. All eyes are now on the upcoming US PCE inflation data, which could provide crucial clues about the Fed’s future monetary policy stance and influence the gold price trajectory even further. Will the data solidify expectations for looser monetary policy and send gold prices even higher? Let’s delve into the factors driving the gold rally and what the PCE report might reveal.
Gold rallies to record highs, nearing $2,230 an ounce, aiming for a fifth consecutive win. But Friday’s trading is subdued, likely due to Good Friday observances. Despite the quiet market, gold’s allure remains strong. Investors are flocking to the metal as anticipation grows for major central banks, including the US Federal Reserve, to embark on interest rate cuts this year.
This dovish sentiment is fueled by expectations of three rate cuts from the Fed. However, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, while dovish himself, cautions that the Fed needs confirmation of inflation receding before taking action.
Technical Outlook on Gold (XAU/USD)
Gold prices surged today, closing at a record high of $2,230 per ounce. This significant rise suggests the market may be overbought, potentially indicating a price correction in the near future.
Yesterday, gold briefly touched $2,234 before settling at today’s closing price. Technical indicators like Bollinger Bands and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently suggest a potential downward trend. This could push prices towards the $2,200 or even $2,150 level.
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