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Weekly Analysis of Major FX Pairs (November 22nd–29th, 2023)

The US dollar appears to be recovering from the bearish sentiment that surrounded it in recent weeks. However, this has caused some of the major FX pairs to initiate a downward correction. Nevertheless, some are still holding onto their upside trajectory amidst the US dollar recovery.

Weekly Analysis of Major FX Pairs (November 22nd–29th, 2023)

EURUSD: Bearish

The EURUSD had earlier approached a four-month high over the previous sessions. However, as soon as price action tested breaking that barrier, headwinds were kindled, subsequently starting a downward correction for this major FX pair. This mentioned downward correction started yesterday, while today’s trading activities have shown indications of continuing the move. One can notice the appearance of a red candle at the opening of the previous session.

Nevertheless, trading activities remain above the 1.09000 mark at this point. Furthermore, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator lines are still above the equilibrium level. Also, it is worth noting that these lines are now steadily approaching a crossover. At the same time, the bars of this indicator can be seen getting shorter and pale in appearance. Consequently, this suggests that prices may fall towards the 1.0860 mark should the USD keep getting stronger.

Weekly Analysis of Major FX Pairs (November 22nd–29th, 2023)

GBPUSD: Bearish

Price action in the GBPUSD has resurfaced above the 1.2489 mark since September. Two sessions have occurred above this level, printing moderate profits and bringing this major FX pair to trade above the 1.2500 mark. Nevertheless, this pair, as of today’s session, seems to be experiencing a downward correction due to a moderate recovery in the US dollar.

Nevertheless, trading activities remain above the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, as well as the support at the 1.2489 mark. Also, the last MACD indicator bar is now pale green, suggesting that bullish momentum may be strengthening. Although the MACD lines are still above the equilibrium level, traders may want to eye a support at the 1.2490 mark.

Weekly Analysis of Major FX Pairs (November 22nd–29th, 2023)

USDCHF: Bearish

Surprisingly, the USDCHF pair hasn’t witnessed significant gains despite the momentum gain in the USD. Perhaps this is due to fundamentals on the Swiss franc side of the market. Price action over recent trading sessions has been trickling down to the lower limit of the Bollinger Bands, while more recent trading sessions have printed the minutest of gains.

The MACD lines have descended below the equilibrium level, while its bars are still below the equilibrium level and pale green in appearance. Also, the Bollinger Bands have an overall downward bearing. It could be assumed that this major FX pair has an overall downward bearing, and prices may still approach the 0.8750 mark shortly.

Weekly Analysis of Major FX Pairs (November 22nd–29th, 2023)

USDCAD: Bearish

The Canadian dollar seems to have stronger momentum against the US dollar. This has delivered stronger momentum in the USDCAD daily market. Price action in this market continues to test the lowest limit of the Bollinger Bands. Likewise, the MACD lines have crossed below the equilibrium level, and the bars of this indicator are solid red in appearance.

By implication, this suggests that bearish momentum is strong and potent enough to cause further price declines in this market. However, the price candle representing the ongoing session shows that bears may be facing some resistance. Nevertheless, the hope of an upside correction at this point still seems premature, considering the majority of signs coming from this market. Therefore, price action may approach the 1.3600 mark.

Weekly Analysis of Major FX Pairs (November 22nd–29th, 2023)

AUDUSD: Bullish

The AUDUSD pair has stuck to its upside path despite the moderate upside correction in the USD. Most of this is due to a more favorable sentiment surrounding the Australian dollar against the US dollar.

Although price action has kept trending upwards since this week’s trading activities, since yesterday, price movements seem to have been experiencing some difficulty in their upside track, considering the price candles appearing since the previous session. Nevertheless, the MACD bars remain above equilibrium and keep appearing solid green, while their lines are still trending slightly upward. Consequently, it is more likely that price moves may approach the 0.6600 mark.

EURJPY: Bullish

Examining the current price candle in the ongoing EURJPY session reveals a significant headwind, contributing to prices dropping below the middle limit of the Bollinger Bands indicator. This shift indicates a strengthening bearish momentum in today’s trading session.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator lines have undergone a bearish crossover above the equilibrium level, accompanied by the appearance of a red bar below the equilibrium. This alignment implies that the bearish momentum of this major FX pair might find relief near a support level above the 160.60 mark. The market signals suggest a growing bearish trend with potential support in the near term.

USDJPY: Bearish

The USDJPY market maintains an overall bearish stance, considering the general price movements that have developed since the resistance at the 152.00 price mark was tested. Also, despite the minimal upside correction in the ongoing session, price action keeps hugging the lowest limit of the Bollinger Bands.

Yet, the MACD bars are still pale red and keep growing taller below the equilibrium level. Likewise, the MACD leading line has now fallen below the equilibrium level, while the lagging one follows closely behind. At this point, bulls are appearing overwhelmed, which hints that further downward correction is possible towards the 147.00 mark.

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