By week’s end, the XAU/USD Gold spot exhibited a modest recovery to $1,890. However, it remains on track for a 1% weekly decrease, marking its fourth consecutive weekly decline. The metal appears to be in a phase of consolidating losses following a downward trend over the past four days. Additionally, it received a boost from risk aversion prompted by concerns over the health of the Chinese economy.
This negative sentiment was largely driven by the bankruptcy protection filing of a major Chinese real estate player, Evergrande, in a US court. Notably, this same entity defaulted on significant debts in 2021, causing significant ripples across financial markets. As a result, the precious metal might experience advantageous conditions in the upcoming sessions as investors seek refuge in it as a safe haven.
Conversely, the downturn in XAU/USD’s fortunes finds its rationale in the ascent of US Treasury yields. These yields, often regarded as the competing expense of retaining gold, experienced a rapid surge. This surge can be primarily attributed to the pronounced hawkish outlook projected by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) in their interpretation of the July meeting’s minutes. During this meeting, participants noticeably hinted at the possibility of an impending hike, leaving the door ajar for such a move.
As the week concludes, a contrasting trend emerges as US rates embark on a descent. This shift might be indicative of investors seeking solace in bonds, a maneuver that in turn propels the precious metal to garner renewed momentum.
Key Levels
- Resistance: $1930, $1950, and $2000.
- Support: $1850, $1800, and $1780.
A Technical Outlook on Gold
Based on the market’s performance between yesterday and today, it seems that the Gold market might have discovered a launching platform around the $1889.34 price level. This assumption arises because the bearish market sentiment appears to have been drawn towards the gravestone doji candlesticks, which accurately depict the market’s condition both yesterday and today. There’s a potential scenario where Gold buyers gather around the $1900 price level.
The Moving Average Convergence and Divergence (MACD) indicator seems to offer a glimmer of optimism, as the most recent histogram now exhibits a faded red hue. This change signifies that the bearish pressure could be diminishing, potentially making way for an upcoming bullish trend, assuming all unfolds as anticipated.
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